Where Trump and Biden Stand on Tax Policy There is an enormous gulf between the presidential candidates on tax policy—with trillions of dollars at stake over the next decade. President Trump is campaigning to continue his administration’s biggest legislative achievement, the 2017 tax law, which lowered taxes on businesses and individuals while increasing budget deficits. Mr. Biden proposes big tax […]
It’s been almost two months since the general election on November 3, 2020. Thought I would weigh in with another update on the races to see how the Georgia runoff elections are going that will be held on January 5, 2021, since they will determine the control of the United States Senate. In the first or regular Senate race, both […]
Due to the fact that the two Georgia Senate races will determine which party controls the Senate, I thought I would weigh in on the races. In the first Senate race, both parties did not reach the 50% of voters threshold and thus it is headed to a runoff in January 2021. As you can see from my analysis below, […]
In my election forecast for this year’s presidential race, my model gave Vice President Joe Biden the edge to win it. The race has not been called yet, however. But the President has made claims of fraud in the election and that the reporting by the main street media this past year suppressed Republican voter turnout. Do these claims have […]
November 4th AM Actual Update (Presidential Race): It looks like my forecast for the popular vote is holding. See chart above. However, it looks like my electoral college forecast is holding as well. Biden had an edge to win it, but his advantage in the electoral college was not statistically significant. This race will most likely come down to Pennsylvania. […]
My model is now giving V.P. Joe Biden an edge to win this election with a 65.5% probability of winning the popular vote nationwide and a 58.8% probability of winning the electoral college. The differences between the two in the electoral college is not statistically significant. So there is a possibility that Trump could win. However, Biden has the edge to […]
Both President Trump and the leader of the United States Senate Mitch McConnell have said that they support replacing Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg position on the Supreme Court as soon as possible. Take a look at a recent headline…CNBC: Trump nominee to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Supreme Court will get Senate vote, McConnell says Take a look at a […]
Since this is a presidential election year, thought I would weigh in with my take on the Democratic and Republican conventions. This will give us additional insight into the presidential race and how things are going. To get a sense of my latest insights on the race overall, access Robinson Analytics 2020 Presidential Race Center website by clicking here. Robinson […]
Most Americans Favor Voting by Mail as Option in November BY MOHAMED YOUNIS with Gallup STORY HIGHLIGHTS 64% of Americans favor allowing voting by mail this November83% of Democrats favor such measuresRepublicans most likely to oppose and harbor concern for fraud WASHINGTON, D.C. — While most Americans (64%) favor their state allowing all voters to vote by mail or absentee ballot, […]
Presidential Race Analysis Robinson Analytics has developed two probability models based on all of the national polls. Our traditional or classic model uses the national polls that are used to calculate the Real Clear Politics average of the polls. We made this change to the model to reflect the reset in the general election that we think happened on October […]