BY JEFFREY M. JONES STORY HIGHLIGHTS 40%, down from 89%, say situation is getting betterMost now expect disruption to persist through end of 2021 or later19% practicing strict social distancing, compared with 18% in June WASHINGTON, D.C. — In a dramatic shift from last month, more Americans now say the coronavirus situation in the U.S. is getting worse (45%) rather than […]
With over 50% of the new United States Covid-19 cases are of the Delta variant variety, and not the original Alpha variety, I thought I would weigh in on the severity of this and what it might mean for us. Below find the summary of findings from The Harris Poll of the American public on this subject. As you can […]
When I did some analysis on 6 months of the 10 year treasury bond yield, it looks challenging over the next 3 months. See the chart below. This analysis is telling me that we could see a decline in interest rates over the summer. Which communicates that bond investors are not all that confident in the economy in the near […]
I am releasing my updated stock market forecast for the remainder of the year from my Analytics Model. My June 2021 forecast for year-end price level of the Standard and Poor’s 500 is 4,432 (I have a high confidence level that the price level will come in between 3,756 and 5,108). See the chart below. This new forecast is an […]
Bitcoin is down -36% from it’s all-time high April 12, 2021. Additionally, my technical analysis of the crypto currency are: It is oversold at this point,Trading below its 50 day and 200 day SMA.Big Money traders are selling andMacD is negative Robinson Analytics takes data science and applies it to the Stock Market to provide you with some of the […]
The United States real estate market has been one of the best performing equity asset classes year to date risk adjusted. This sector (XLRE, green line in the chart below) of the economy has outperformed the Standard & Poor’s 500 (Economy overall), Nasdaq (Technology sector of the economy) and the Blue-Chip firms that we know as the Dow Jones Industrial […]
You have seen some of the recent headlines around President Biden’s Corporate tax hike to 28%. He is proposing to raise the taxes on Corporations as a way to pay for his 2 trillion dollar infrastructure plan. See the headlines below… The focus of this article is not to articulate the need for infrastructure to be invested in. It surely […]
A lot has changed since my December 6, 2020 forecast for 2021. My financial markets analysis is on the top 10 economies in the world. See the chart below. The markets are currently forecasting that Canada’s main street economy will do the best the next 6 (September 2021) to 9 months (December 2021), with Japan’s main street economy performing second […]
The facts are undeniable: The seven-day average of new cases in the United States has fallen by 74 percent (see chart below) since their January peak, hospitalizations have gone down by 58 percent, and deaths have dropped by 42 percent. Meanwhile, more than 70 million doses of vaccine have gone into American arms. At some point—maybe even some point relatively soon—the remaining […]
The economy is getting stronger and the bond market is confirming that. I have graphed in a few charts below the yield action on bonds and how they relate to the stock market. This gives us insights as to what is going on with the economy. Robinson Analytics takes data science and applies it to the Stock Market to provide […]