Due to the fact that the two Georgia Senate races will determine which party controls the Senate, I thought I would weigh in on the races. In the first Senate race, both parties did not reach the 50% of voters threshold and thus it is headed to a runoff in January 2021. As you can see from my analysis below, […]
I know that it may be hard to remember with all of the political things going on right now, but we have entered the height of the Christmas spending season. Christmas spending last year, 2019, was ~$729 billion. What are we looking at for 2020? Will it rise year-over-year, as it has in the past several years? See chart below. […]
In my election forecast for this year’s presidential race, my model gave Vice President Joe Biden the edge to win it. The race has not been called yet, however. But the President has made claims of fraud in the election and that the reporting by the main street media this past year suppressed Republican voter turnout. Do these claims have […]
November 4th AM Actual Update (Presidential Race): It looks like my forecast for the popular vote is holding. See chart above. However, it looks like my electoral college forecast is holding as well. Biden had an edge to win it, but his advantage in the electoral college was not statistically significant. This race will most likely come down to Pennsylvania. […]
My model is now giving V.P. Joe Biden an edge to win this election with a 65.5% probability of winning the popular vote nationwide and a 58.8% probability of winning the electoral college. The differences between the two in the electoral college is not statistically significant. So there is a possibility that Trump could win. However, Biden has the edge to […]