Where Trump and Biden Stand on Tax Policy There is an enormous gulf between the presidential candidates on tax policy—with trillions of dollars at stake over the next decade. President Trump is campaigning to continue his administration’s biggest legislative achievement, the 2017 tax law, which lowered taxes on businesses and individuals while increasing budget deficits. Mr. Biden proposes big tax […]
Robinson Analytics Correctly Forecast Georgia Senate Races Updated Forecast (Jan 1st)
It’s been almost two months since the general election on November 3, 2020. Thought I would weigh in with another update on the races to see how the Georgia runoff elections are going that will be held on January 5, 2021, since they will determine the control of the United States Senate. In the first or regular Senate race, both […]
Robinson Analytics Georgia Senate Races (Control of the Senate) Forecast
Due to the fact that the two Georgia Senate races will determine which party controls the Senate, I thought I would weigh in on the races. In the first Senate race, both parties did not reach the 50% of voters threshold and thus it is headed to a runoff in January 2021. As you can see from my analysis below, […]
Robinson Analytics Correctly Forecast Christmas / Holiday Spending Down in 2020
I know that it may be hard to remember with all of the political things going on right now, but we have entered the height of the Christmas spending season. Christmas spending last year, 2019, was ~$729 billion. What are we looking at for 2020? Will it rise year-over-year, as it has in the past several years? See chart below. […]
Are We Experiencing More Fraud in our National Elections?
In my election forecast for this year’s presidential race, my model gave Vice President Joe Biden the edge to win it. The race has not been called yet, however. But the President has made claims of fraud in the election and that the reporting by the main street media this past year suppressed Republican voter turnout. Do these claims have […]
Robinson Analytics Correctly Forecast U.S. National Gov’t Elections Update (11.4.2020)
November 4th AM Actual Update (Presidential Race): It looks like my forecast for the popular vote is holding. See chart above. However, it looks like my electoral college forecast is holding as well. Biden had an edge to win it, but his advantage in the electoral college was not statistically significant. This race will most likely come down to Pennsylvania. […]
Robinson Analytics U.S. National Government Control Forecast
My model is now giving V.P. Joe Biden an edge to win this election with a 65.5% probability of winning the popular vote nationwide and a 58.8% probability of winning the electoral college. The differences between the two in the electoral college is not statistically significant. So there is a possibility that Trump could win. However, Biden has the edge to […]
Who will be the next Supreme Court nominee?
Both President Trump and the leader of the United States Senate Mitch McConnell have said that they support replacing Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg position on the Supreme Court as soon as possible. Take a look at a recent headline…CNBC: Trump nominee to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Supreme Court will get Senate vote, McConnell says Take a look at a […]
How are things looking for 2020 4th Quarter?
Thought I would weigh-in on what we might be looking at in terms of economic growth for the fourth quarter for 2020. It gives you insight as to how you should position your business as we close out the year. Robinson Analytics takes data science and applies it to the Stock Market to provide you with some of the highest-return […]
Robinson Analytics Democratic and Republican Conventions Analysis
Since this is a presidential election year, thought I would weigh in with my take on the Democratic and Republican conventions. This will give us additional insight into the presidential race and how things are going. To get a sense of my latest insights on the race overall, access Robinson Analytics 2020 Presidential Race Center website by clicking here. Robinson […]